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Xeneta: Far East–USWC spot $8,346 / USEC $11,523; post-Hormuz peak called as Golden Week starts

Xeneta’s 2 October 2026 weekly update (Peter Sand) says Far East–US spot rates ticked up again on 1 October—US West Coast to US$8,346/FEU (+1.4%) and US East Coast to US$11,523 (+0.7%)—but with confidence that the post-Hormuz crisis peak for 2026 has been reached. Asia port congestion is easing as typhoon season winds down, while China’s Golden Week (1–7 Oct) lowers near-term exports. Far East–North Europe fell 2.1% to US$3,726 and Mediterranean 4.6% to US$4,105. Sand expects a gradual decline,

On 2 October 2026, Xeneta published its weekly ocean container market update assessing 1 October spot averages. Far East to US West Coast stood at US$8,346 per FEU (+1.4% or +US$115 week on week); Far East to US East Coast at US$11,523 (+0.7% or +US$78). Far East to North Europe was US$3,726 (−2.1%); Far East to Mediterranean US$4,105 (−4.6%); North Europe to US East Coast US$2,893 (−2.2%).

Chief Analyst Peter Sand said the market has reached its post-Hormuz crisis peak for 2026 with a level of confidence, even though Transpacific prints still rose slightly into Golden Week. Versus the 28 February 2026 pre-Hormuz baseline, Far East–USWC remains up about 344% and Far East–USEC about 335%. The US East–West Coast spread was US$3,177 per FEU on 1 October versus about US$772 pre-Hormuz.

Sand linked the turn to easing Asian port congestion as typhoon season winds down, plus China’s Golden Week and national holidays lowering exports in the first week of October. He stressed demand is not strong and rates have peaked, but will not collapse—so shippers should expect elevated freight costs for the remainder of the year. His three-month sketch puts USEC roughly in the US$6,000–7,000 range and USWC around US$4,500–5,500, with the East Coast likely falling harder from a higher starting point.

For China-origin importers, the practical split is unchanged from other October notes: Transpacific stays a high-base, gradual-ease story into the reopen week; Asia–Europe already softened into October on Xeneta’s prints. Confirm named post-holiday voyages and all-in surcharges rather than waiting for a waterfall in China–US ocean rates.

Source: Xeneta

Topics

  • xeneta
  • transpacific
  • freight-rates
  • golden-week
  • us-west-coast
  • us-east-coast
  • asia-europe
  • ocean-freight
  • logistics
  • china
  • sourcing
  • procurement

Xinhua: 140th Canton Fair opens in Guangzhou; Premier Li Qiang keynotes opening up; 30,000+ exhibitors, ~340,000 overseas buyers

Xinhua (14 Oct 2026, Guangzhou) reports that Chinese Premier Li Qiang delivered a keynote at the opening ceremony of the 140th China Import and Export Fair (Canton Fair). He said China will keep expanding high-standard opening up and will import more high-quality, high-value-added products. This edition gathers more than 30,000 exhibiting companies and about 340,000 overseas buyers. Phase 1 runs 15-19 Oct in Guangzhou, with later phases through 4 Nov.

GACC via NBD: China September exports $447.18bn (+36.3% YoY); imports $313.65bn (+31%); Jan-Sep exports +21.3%

National Business Daily (14 Oct 2026), citing General Administration of Customs (GACC) data, reports that in US-dollar terms China's September 2026 exports were USD 447.18 billion, up 36.3% year on year, and imports were USD 313.65 billion, up 31%. For January to September, exports totaled USD 3,370.7 billion (+21.3%) and imports USD 2,432.58 billion (+27.5%). The same day's SCIO/GACC briefing (China News) put September trade in yuan at RMB 5.16 trillion (+27.5%), the first month above RMB 5 tri

China News: Ningbo-Zhoushan rail-sea intermodal tops 1.6m TEU in Q1-Q3 (+8.5%); September sets monthly record

China News Service (14 Oct 2026, Ningbo), citing Zhejiang Seaport Group, reports that Ningbo-Zhoushan Port handled more than 1.6 million TEU of rail-sea intermodal cargo in the first three quarters of 2026, up 8.5% year on year. September alone exceeded 200,000 TEU, a monthly record. New products include a Middle East rail-sea train from Yiwu, domestic water-rail 'one-document' links, a Yiwu-Qinzhou domestic train, and an Aksu export train with Xinjiang 'one box to the end' export mode.

People's Daily/Jiefang Daily: Shanghai Port hits monthly record 5.135m TEU in September (+6.2%)

People's Daily Shanghai (13 Oct 2026), citing Jiefang Daily, reports Shanghai Port handled 5.135 million TEU in September 2026, up 6.2% year on year and a new monthly record. Mingdong Terminal set its own round-the-clock record at 30,056 TEU in a day. After typhoons Bavi, Dolphin and Sadr, SIPG said it cleared backlog ships with customs, maritime and border support, tightened export gate-in and transshipment flows, and cut non-working waits. Over National Day Golden Week the port handled 1.15 mi

Dated desk notes, not a news feed Updates.

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WhatsAppXeneta: Far East–USWC spot $8,346 / USEC $11,523; post-Hormu