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BRF/Drewry: 58 East–West blanks in weeks 40–44 (8%); treat Oct 8 as reopen, not a guaranteed China ETD

BRF Logistics (29 Sep 2026) cites Drewry’s 25 September tracker: 58 announced blank sailings among 712 planned major East–West voyages for weeks 40–44 (28 Sep–1 Nov), an 8% cancellation rate, with about 64% of those blanks on eastbound Transpacific. The note lists published Maersk examples still relevant into early October—AE12 Ningbo 8 Oct, AE1 Shanghai 10 Oct, TP8 Busan 9 Oct, TP12 Ningbo 9 Oct—and stresses that terminals may stay open while factories, trucking, CFS and documents restart on di

On 29 September 2026, BRF Logistics published a post–Golden Week China export sailing guide for cargo aiming at 8 October or later. It notes China’s National Day holiday runs 1–7 October and that vessel schedules, space, equipment and terminal cutoffs can still change, so each booking must be reconfirmed with the carrier or forwarder.

Market context comes from Drewry’s 25 September blank-sailing tracker: among 712 planned major East–West sailings in weeks 40–44 (28 September–1 November), 58 blanks were already announced—an 8% cancellation rate—leaving about 92% of that sample still scheduled. Roughly 64% of those cancellations were on eastbound Transpacific services. BRF stresses this is a market-wide indicator, not a port-by-port cancellation list.

Concrete Maersk examples listed for planning checks include Far East–Europe AE15 Qingdao 28 September (already past for new bookings but relevant to rolled cargo), AE12 Ningbo 8 October, AE1 Shanghai 10 October, Asia–USWC TP8 eastbound blanking first at Busan on 9 October, and Asia–USEC TP12 eastbound Ningbo 9 October. BRF’s operating point for importers: a container terminal can remain open during the holiday while supplier handover, customs documents or inland transport still decide whether cargo meets cutoff—so 8 October is a reopening date, not a guaranteed ETD. For FCL, lock cargo-ready date, empty release, CY/VGM/SI and customs timing to the replacement voyage; for LCL, hit the CFS closing, which is often earlier than the vessel’s terminal cutoff.

Source: BRF Logistics

Topics

  • brf
  • drewry
  • blank-sailings
  • golden-week
  • maersk
  • transpacific
  • asia-europe
  • logistics
  • china
  • sourcing
  • procurement

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